近來許多讀友問如何打連續洗牌機。我目前在打好賭規(可以早降,5張及以上21點賠兩倍,分A可以賭倍)連續洗牌機藉機測試算牌效果:

1. 如果沒存牌,算一回打下一回效果甚差。似乎只能參考當回牌例如當回牌大牌多13對2加牌。

2. 如果有存牌可以算。注意有些荷官故意把大牌留在外面不放入機內。這種「故意影響輸率」的行為應該算作弊。

3. 有些荷官故意或無意抓部分牌入機,也影響算牌。

如果我有突破會贏正常連續洗牌機,我絶對絶對不會透露

teddygotmail 發表在 痞客邦 PIXNET 留言(5) 人氣()


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  • 楊娜美
  • 戴老師您好

    請教一個問題:
    輸率千分之6 , 這個意思是說如果平均來說 打1000回合
    我們會淨輸 6 回合的意思嗎??
    類似打1000回合 ,結果 贏497次 輸 503次 ( 淨輸 6 次 ) 的意思?

    還有如何得知百家樂跟21點的基本輸率?
  • 楊娜美
  • 戴老師您好:

    請問以機率來說
    加勒比海撲克 我們在什麼情況下要棄牌? 什麼時候要跟?
    網路上有人說 拿到一個對子 就要跟
    但也有人說拿到的對子太小(例如拿到6以下的對子) 也必須棄牌?

    感謝解答
  • Tzl168
  • Caribbean Stud Poker
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    On This Page
    Rules
    House Edge
    Strategy
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    Rules


    Player makes an ante wager plus an optional $1 progressive side bet
    Each player and the dealer get five cards each. All cards are dealt face down, except one dealer card is exposed. The player may examine his own cards but sharing of information is not allowed.
    Player must fold or raise.
    If player folds he forfeits his cards, ante bet, and side bet (if made)
    If player raises then he must make a raise wager exactly equal to twice the ante
    The dealer will turn over his other four cards
    The dealer must have an ace and a king or higher to qualify. In other words, the lowest qualifying hand would be ace, king, 4, 3, 2 and the highest non-qualifying hand would be ace, queen, jack, 10, 9. If the dealer does not qualify the player will win even money on his ante wager and the raise will push.
    If the dealer qualifies and beats the player, both ante and raise will lose.
    If the dealer qualifies and loses to the player, then the ante will pay even money and the raise according to the posted pay table. The U.S. pay table is shown below.
    If the player and dealer tie, both ante and raise will push.
    The progressive side bet will be entirely based on the poker value of the player's hand. Various pay tables are available.
    U.S. Raise Pay Table
    HAND PAYS
    Royal flush 100 to 1
    Straight flush 50 to 1
    Four of a kind 20 to 1
    Full house 7 to 1
    Flush 5 to 1
    Straight 4 to 1
    Three of a kind 3 to 1
    Two pair 2 to 1
    All other 1 to 1
    House Edge


    The following table shows all the possible outcomes, assuming the U.S. pay table is used and the player follows optimal strategy.

    U.S. Rules Return TableEXPAND
    EVENT PAYS UNITS WON COMBINATIONS PROBABILITY RETURN
    Player wins with royal flush 100 to 1 201 16759740 0.000001 0.000169
    Player wins with straight flush 50 to 1 101 156929720 0.000008 0.000795
    Player wins with four of a kind 20 to 1 41 2832435800 0.000142 0.005826
    Player wins with full house 7 to 1 15 16624475280 0.000834 0.01251
    Player wins with flush 5 to 1 11 21856990280 0.001097 0.012062
    Player wins with straight 4 to 1 9 43805516100 0.002198 0.019779
    Player wins with three of a kind 3 to 1 7 234242908320 0.011751 0.08226
    Player wins with two pair 2 to 1 5 488012139360 0.024482 0.122412
    Player wins with pair or less 1 to 1 3 2343248003808 0.117555 0.352665
    Dealer doesn't qualify 1 4532514033720 0.227385 0.227385
    Push 0 321623100 0.000016 0
    Fold -1 9523005974460 0.477745 -0.477745
    Dealer wins -3 2726592727512 0.136786 -0.410359
    Total 19933230517200 1 -0.052243


    The lower right cell in the above table shows a house edge of 5.224%. However, I think this makes Caribbean Stud look like a worse bet than it really is. The house edge is traditionally defined as the expected loss to the original wager. In Caribbean Stud Poker the optimal strategy player will raise 52.23% of the time, for an average total wager of 2.045 units. For comparing one game against another I prefer to use the element of risk, which is the expected loss to the average wager, which in this case would be 5.224%/2.045 = 2.555%.

    Strategy
    Optimal strategy in Caribbean Stud is very complicated. The number of people who know it perfectly is probably zero. However, we can make two generalizations that cover most hands.

    Always raise with a pair or higher.
    Always fold with less than the dealer's qualifying hand (ace/king)
    It is the ace/king hands that are tricky. In general it helps if the three singletons are high or the dealer's up card is jack or less and matches one of the player's cards (making is less likely the dealer will form a pair). I personally developed the following strategy, which results in a house edge of 5.225%, just 0.001% less than optimal. If that isn't enough for you I do have the Caribbean Stud optimal strategy.

    The Wizard's Caribbean Stud Poker Strategy

    Always raise with a pair or higher, fold with less than ace/king, and raise on ace/king if any of the following three rules apply.

    Raise if the dealer's card is a 2 through queen and matches one of yours.
    Raise if the dealer's card is an ace or king and you have a queen or jack in your hand.
    Raise if the dealer's rank does not match any of yours and you have a queen in your hand and the dealer's card is less than your fourth highest card.
    Following are details on various strategies. The "total loss" is the loss over all possible 19,933,230,517,200 combinations of hands, the house edge, and the element of risk.

    U.S. Raise Pay Table
    STRATEGY TOTAL LOSS HOUSE EDGE ELEMENT OF RISK
    Perfect strategy 1,041,372,912,372 5.224% 2.555%
    Wizard's Strategy 1,041,417,758,724 5.225% 2.554%
    Raise on ace/king/jack/8/3 or higher 1,059,715,400,580 5.316% 2.596%
    Raise if dealer's up card matches the rank of any player card 1,063,176,931,284 5.334% 2.616%
    Raise on any pair or better 1,090,272,101,460
    5.470%

    2.738%
    Raise on any ace/king or better 1,132,600,203,540 5.682% 2.672%
    Playing blind (raise on everything) 3,310,360,338,060 16.607% 5.536%
  • Tzl168
  • 千分之6是去掉和局 503/497。百家樂基本輸率用電腦模擬算。有佣式下莊去掉和局 -1.17%。下閒 -1.36%。
  • 温哥华
  • 两副牌,切一半,庄家软17加牌。不许投降。请问这种玩法有什么调整策略?
  • 正常的調整策略夠用。差的有限。

    teddygotmail 於 2015/12/31 06:35 回覆